Mood: sick...trying to figure out what I did yesterday
Listening to: Canadian news overblowing VE day for about the 4th straight day
The NDP still DON'T GET IT
The Cons still TRYING TO FIND IT
The Libs still TRYING TO HOLD ON
The Bloc still KNOW EXACTIMENT (SP)
Ontario still the deciding factor whcih can only be influenced by the
NDP coming out with the "Personall Rights Issue" of the
Frankel/Krieger/Parker Judicial Scandel...... but they don't appear to
be doing sooooooooo........ there showing in the polls shows how well
their strategy is going.
Ontario can still be influenced...... gasp.... by the Cons bringing out
the Judicial scandel to destroy the Libs..... but alas....according to
their policies they don't want people haveing the Personal Right
to grow plants and pick their favourite flowers for cooking AND
allowing the Courts to unsurp these Rights illegally as shown.
On to the poll
Lib 32
Con 31
NDP 16
Bloc 12
Geen 5
BUT GRITS TAKE STRONG 11-POINT LEAD IN SEAT RICH ONTARIO (44% VS. 33%)
Majority
(58%) Believe Conservatives' Motive For Election Is Power Lust - Not
Sincere Belief That They Can No Longer Support "Corrupt" Government
(37%)
According to an Ipsos-Reid national survey of 1000 Canadians conducted
from May 3rd to May 5th, 2005 and provided exclusively to
CanWest/Global, the national Federal political horserace remains
tightly contested between the Liberals (32%, up 2 points) and the
Conservatives (31%, down 2 points) compared to a poll released exactly
a week ago. However, it would appear that the Liberals have benefited
the most in the past week as they have vaunted to take a commanding
11-point lead in the seat-rich and volatile province of Ontario (44%
vs. 33%).
There
also appears to be a dynamic among Canadians concerning why they think
Mr. Harper and his party are committed to defeating the government and
sending voters to the polls as soon as they can: Fifty-eight percent
believe the Conservatives "just want to be in power" compared to four
in ten (37%) who think the Conservatives want to pull the election
trigger because "they sincerely believe that they can no longer support
a Liberal government that is corrupt".
As for the other
parties, if a Federal election were held today, 16% of voters would
support the NDP (down 1 point), and 5% would support the Green Party
(unchanged).
In Quebec, the Bloc Quebecois sits at 50% support
(up 2 points) and holds a 30-point lead over their next closest
challenger in this province, the Liberals (20%, down 1 point).
The National Vote…
According
the most recent Ipsos-Reid survey, if a Federal election were held
today, 32% of decided voters would support the Liberals (up 2 points),
31% would support the Conservatives (down 2 points), 16% would support
the NDP (down 1 point), and 5% would support the Green Party
(unchanged).
In Quebec, the Bloc Quebecois sits at 50% support
(up 2 points) and holds a 30-point lead over their next closest
challenger in this province, the Liberals (20%, down 1 point).
Among
all Canadians, 14% are undecided, refused to say whom they would vote
for, or would not vote if a Federal election were held tomorrow.
Parties
Election Results June 28, 2004 April 12-14, 2005 April 19-21, 2005
April 22-24, 2005 April 26-28, 2005 May 3-5, 2005 Movement From Last
Poll Since 2004 Election
The Conservative Party 30% 36% 35% 34% 33% 31% -2% +1%
The Liberals 37% 27% 30% 31% 30% 32% +2% -5%
The New Democratic Party 16% 15% 18% 18% 17% 16% -1% 0%
The Bloc Quebecois 12% 10% 12% 11% 12% 12% 0% 0%
The Green Party 4% 7% 5% 5% 5% 5% 0% +1%
Regional Highlights…
•In
Ontario, the Liberals (44%, up 4 points) have widened their lead to
11-points over the Conservatives (33%, unchanged). The NDP (17%, down 2
points) battles for votes in the third position, while the Green Party
(4%, down 1 point) registers lowly.
•In Quebec, the Bloc
Quebecois (50%, up 2 points) have a 30-point lead over the Liberals
(20%, down 1 point), as the NDP (12%, up 4 points) and the
Conservatives (11%, down 5 points) contest for the third spot. Four
percent of the votes are given to the Green Party (up 1 point).
•In
British Columbia, the Liberals (30%, up 2 points) now have a slim lead
over the Conservatives (27%, down 7 points) and the NDP (25%, up 2
points). The Green Party (15%, up 5 points) continues to trail.
•In
Alberta, the Conservatives (63%, down 4 points) rule the Federal
political landscape, as the Liberals (20%, up 2 points), the Green
Party (6%, up 1 point) and the NDP (5%, down 1 point) trail distantly.
•In
Saskatchewan/Manitoba, the Conservatives (52%, up 8 points) dominate,
and currently garner more support than the NDP (23%, up 3 points), the
Liberals (21%, down 9 points), and the Green Party (1%, unchanged)
combined.
•In Atlantic Canada, the Liberals (45%, up 9 points)
currently have the lead, followed by the Conservatives (32%, up 5
points), the NDP (17%, down 15 points), and the Green Party (3%, up 2
points).
Majority (58%) Believe Conservatives' Motive For
Election Is Power Lust - Not Sincere Belief That They Can No Longer
Support "Corrupt" Government (37%)…
When Canadians are asked
to speculate as to why they think Stephen Harper and the Conservatives
want to force an election now, the majority (58%) say it is because
"they just want to be in power", while 37% believe it is because "they
sincerely believe they can no longer support a Liberal government that
is corrupt". Five percent say they "don't know" why they are calling an
election.
•Residents of Ontario (63%) and Atlantic Canada
(63%) are the most likely to believe Mr. Harper and the Conservatives
"just want to be in power", followed by residents of British Columbia
(61%).
•Residents of Alberta (56%) are the most inclined to think
that Stephen Harper and the Conservatives are calling the election
because they can no longer support a "corrupt" government, followed by
residents of Saskatchewan/Manitoba (44%) and Quebec (39%).
cheers :) majere
roger m roeder