The Moon of Liberty

Scenario 1 was the big Obama win, if of course the polls are wrong, it may instead go soemthing like this.

ET 7 pm GMT Midnight

With a huge buzz around the Obama camp, the first polls close. Georgia, South Carolina and Kentucky go to McCain. Despite close polls there, Indiana also is given to McCain. Virginia is too close to call. Vermont is Obama's early success. ELECTORAL COLLEGE McCain 42 Obama 3

ET 7.30 pm GMT 12.30 am

Alarm bells are wringing in the Obama camp, early returns in Virginia have McCain is a small early lead. polls close in Ohio and North Carolina, both currently too close to call, West Virginia is awarded to McCain as expected. ELECTORAL COLLEGE McCain 47 Obama 3

ET 7.50 GMT 12.50 am

In a blow to Obama, North Carolina is awarded to McCain. He is still also ahead in Virginia, with Ohio within a thousand votes early on.  ELECTORAL COLLEGE McCain 62 Obama 3.

ET 8pm GMT 1 am

Obama gets some votes on the board as most of the east coast polls close. Obama wins in Massachussettes, Connecticut, New Jersey, Delaware, Maryland, the District of Colombia, Maine and Illinois. McCain is given Oklahoma, Alabama, Mississippi and Tennessee. The networks will not call Florida, Missouri or Pennsylvania or New Hampshire. McCain still leads in Virgina and is ahead marginally in Ohio too. The marginal states are currently breaking for McCain. This is going to be very close indeed. ELECTORAL COLLEGE McCain 95 Obama 78.

ET 8.30 pm GMT 1.30 am

Bill Clinton's state of Arkansas goes for McCain with a big margin. Missouri is also called in McCain's favour in another piece of evidence that the margins are breaking McCain's way and Obama looks like he is hanging on here. McCain 112 Obama 78

ET 9 pm GMT 2 am

More polls close with results coming thick and fast. Obama is awarded Rhode Island, New York, Michigan, Wisconsin and New Mexico. McCain wins his home state of Arizona, Wyoming, North Dakota, South Dakota, Nebraska, Kansas, Texas and Louisiana. In another concern for Obama, Minnesota is too close to call at this stage, as is Colorado. ELECTORAL COLLEGE McCain 185 Obama 145.

ET 9.10 pm GMT 2.10 am

Some relief for Obama as early returns allow Minnesota to be called for Obama. ELECTORAL COLLEGE McCain 185 Obama 155.

ET 9.30 pm GMT 2.30 am

With the West Coast to come in 90 minutes time, Obama is marginally ahead in Pennsylvania, Florida and New Hampshire, McCain still ahead in Ohio and Virginia and marginally in Colorado. McCain will need to turn one of pennsylvania or Florida around to take the Presidency,

ET 9.45 pm GMT 2.45 GMT

It's announced Virginia is now called in favour of McCain. a major blow for Obama, who now msut hang on to his lead in Florida. ELECTORAL COLLEGE McCain 198 Obama 155.

ET 10 pm GMT 3 am

Utah and Montana go for McCain, Iowa for Obama, Nevada as expected is too close to call. ELECTORAL COLLEGE McCain 206 Obama 162

ET 10.30 pm GMT 3.30 am

A huge boost for John McCain. He is awarded Ohio with very few votes left to count. It's also announced however that Barak Obama has taken Pennsylvania, a win that keep him in the race. ELECTORAL COLLEGE McCain 226 Obama 183

ET 11 pm GMT 4 am

Here comes the West Coast, Obama wins California, Washington, Oregan and Hawaii. McCain takes Idaho. with 80% of precints reporting McCain takes a slender lead in Florida. Florida would now give Obama the Presidency, but is it slipping away? McCain 230 Obama 260.

ET Midnight GMT 5 am

A huge victory for McCain as his lead in Florida stretches and he wins the state. McCain is also awarded Alaska as polls close. ELECTORAL COLLEGE McCain 260 Obama 260

ET 12.30 am GMT 5.30 am

Confusion as one network awards New Hampshire to McCain and another awards McCain Nevada. It's soon clarified, McCain ahs taken both. Obama now must take Colrado to score a 269 each draw, which as the Deomcrats retain control of the Congress, would be enough for him to become President. ELECTORAL COLLEGE McCain 269 Obama 260

ET 1 am GMT 6 am

With 97% of precincts counted in Colorado McCain has pulled off the impossible. Colorado has gone his way. All the marginal factors have broken to him, the polls were wrong. JOHN McCAIN IS PRESIDENT OF THE UNITED STATES!!!

Final score

McCain 278 Obama 260.

Two scenarios as to how this could turn out. The real version comes this Tuesday night/Wednesday morning when history will be made.

 

 

US election night is tomorrow night. Here are two scenarios of how the night could pan out. For this ET stands for Eastern US Time, GMT stands for Greenwich Mean Time here in the UK.

ET 7pm GMT Midnight

The first states close their polls. Georgia, South Carolina and Kentucky are called for McCain, Vermont for Obama. In a surprise Virginia, a key battleground state is called early for Obama too and Indiana is too close to call. By winning big in Virginia early signs are Obama is heading for a big win, McCain is refusing to admit defeat just yet. ELECTORAL COLLEGE McCain 31 Obama 16

ET 7.30 pm GMT 12.30 am

The polls close in the key states of Ohio and North Carolina neither are called at this point. West Virginia is called for McCain. Early returns in Indiana see Obama in a marginal lead ELECTORAL COLLEGE McCain 36 Obama 16

ET 8 pm GMT 1 am

A glut of results come at this point. Maine, Massachussettes, Connecticut, New Jersey, Delaware, Maryland, The District of Colombia and Obama's home state of Illinois are all called for Obama. McCain takes Tennessee, Oklahoma, Alabama and Mississippi. Missouri and Florida are too close to call, and in a huge boost to Obama's campaign, Pennsylvania is also called in his favour, almost killing off any path to victory McCain had left. Obama is also given New Hampshire in a sign of a much bigger win their than expected Obama still leads in Indiana and is also ahead in Ohio. ELCTORAL COLLEGE McCain 69 Obama 116.

ET 8.30 pm GMT 1.30 am

Arkansas is called for McCain. Early returns however give the netowrks enough confidence to call Ohio for Obama. He is also ahead in Indiana, Missouri, Florida. ELECTORAL COLLEGE McCain 75 Obama 136

ET 9 pm GMT 2 am

More states close. McCain takes his home satte of Arizona, Wyoming, South Dakota, Nebraska, Kansas, George W. Bush's home state of Texas, and Louisiana. Obama has taken New York, Michigan, Wisconsin, Minnesota and Rhode Island. Colorado and New Mexico are too close to call at this point. ELECTORAL COLLEGE McCain 145 Obama 208

ET 10 pm GMT 3 am

Early returns give Obama big leads and he is awarded New Mexico and Colorado. Polls close in Iowa where Obama is the winner, and Utah and Montana which goes to McCain. Nevada is too close to call but Obama is ahead in every tight race except Florida. With California also to come in an hour, the Obama Presidency is now a certainty. ELECTORAL COLLEGE McCain 153 Obama 229

ET 10.30 pm GMT 3.30 am

Indiana and Nevada are called for Obama, followed by North Carolina. McCain concedes defeat on television. A consolation for McCain as he is given North Dakota. On the hour Obama will easily pass the magic number of 270. ELECTORAL COLLEGE McCain 156 Obama 260

ET 11 pm GMT 4 am

Obama sweeps the West Coast and with it the Presidency. California, Washington, Oregan and Hawaii all go Obama's way as expected. Idaho is given to McCain. The Democrat celebrations begin, THE ELECTION IS CALLED!!! BARAK OBAMA IS THE PRESIDENT OF THE UNITED STATES!!!. ELECTORAL COLLEGE McCain 160 Obama 337

ET 11.30 pm GMT 4.30 am

Missouri is called for Obama. Florida is still very tight, Obama is slightly ahead with 80% of precints reporting. ELECTORAL COLLEGE McCain 160 Obama 348

ET 11.50 pm GMT 4.50 am

The Icing on the cake for Obama, with counting almost complete in Florida he is far enough ahead to be given the 27 electoral college votes, completing a total sweep of virtually all the tight races. ELECTORAL COLLEGE McCain 160 Obama 375

ET Midnight GMT 5 am

It's academic, but the Home state of Sarah Palin, Alaska, is declared for McCain.

FINAL RESULT

McCain 163 Obama 375