The OSCAR's 2008
The 80th Academy Award's go ahead in one week's time, writers strike averted and all. It promises however to be a night of very few surpises in the main categories, as most seem locked.
Personally I would love to see an upset in the Best Film category as I don't believe 'No Country For Old Men' deserves to win. However, it almost certainly will, 'It Will Be Blood appears to be it's only challenger, a film not on general release inthe UK until next week, thus I cannot really comment on it's merits (review will be here as soon as possible). The outsider is the well put together 'Juno' but the race appears to be between the first two. The problem is those not keen on 'No Country' will split between the other two, meaning while No Country is clearly a love it or hate it film, those who love it should have enough votes to carry the day. It's dual directors, the Cohen brothers, will also win best director, they have no serious challenger.
In the acting stakes Daniel Day Lewis has won at the Golden Globes, the Screen Acor's Gulid award and the BAFTA's. so he should take out the best actor. Javier Barnden for No COuntry is in a similar position for supporting actor, and will take it out, much as I would one of the (imo) superior performances of Tom Wilkinson in 'Michael Clayton' or Phillip Seymour Hoffman in 'Charlie Wilson's War' to take it, Barnden appears a lock for this one.
On the feamle side, the supporting actress seems to have been taken over by Cate Blanchett, ironcically for playing a man, namely Bob Dillon for 'I'm Not There.' British hopes in this category lie with Tilda Swinton for 'Michael Clayton.' But I expect Blanchett to take it.
The best actress is a facinating race. The bookies favourite is Julie Christie for 'Away From Her.' A film I have to confess not to have seen. However, the Goldon Globe and BAFTA winner was Marion Coultillard for 'Le Vie On Rose.' A French actress in a french film, many are not convinced a foreign language film can be successful in the big categories, Coutillard may change that tonight and score something of an upset. The dark horse is Ellen Page for 'Juno.' I'm going for the French girl however to buck the trend.
The other one to watch is best Animated film. They have come up with a more interesting threesom of nominations than the BAFTA's did. 'Ratatouille' won the BAFTA, and should win the OSCAR too, but instead of playing safe in it's opposition going for big name let downs as the BAFTA's did in nominating 'The Simpson's Movies' and 'Shrek the Third,' the OSCAR's have gone for the lovely tale of the Surfer penguin from Shiverpool in 'Surf's Up', and a facinating French animation about an Iranian family called 'Pesepolis.' I think the French film to win is unlikely, so it will be the Rat against the Penguin, In the chinese year of the rat, I'll take the rat to win.
See how wrong I am next week,should be a good show.
